Field Report

Aspen - CO

2025/02/23
Lat: 39.173, Lon: -106.921
Backcountry Area: Aspen
Author: Dylan Craaybeek
Organization: Forecaster, CAIC

Report Information

Observation Summary

It felt like spring but under the snow surface on north-facing slopes, it most certainly was not. A thick, cohesive slab rests on top of a very weak snowpack, and while things may seem to quiet down, with fewer signs of instability and snowpack tests starting to show more stable results, this snowpack structure will remain very concerning for some time still. Recent avalanche activity including several large to very large avalanches within the last week highlights this concerning snowpack structure on northwest through north to east-facing slopes.

Area Description

Snowmass to Buttermilk

Route Description

Snowmass, across the ridgeline of West Willow to Burnt Mountain traversing across to Buttermilk and down the resort

Avalanches

Saw an avalanche

Observed several older avalanches from the Valentine's Day cycle and more recent avalanches that were not documented yet.
Willow Creek avalanches here: https://avalanche.state.co.us/report/02cc97a0-4548-4def-b44b-aa218b1fa138

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Date # Elev Asp Type Trig SizeR SizeD Problem Type Location
02/15/2025
2 >TL NE SS N R2 D2 Persistent Slab
02/15/2025
1 >TL NE SS N R3 D3 Persistent Slab
02/18/2025
1 TL E SS N R3 D2 Persistent Slab

Snowpack

Cracking: None
Collapsing: None

South-facing slopes now have had two days of melting and refreezing leaving a mix of thin and thick melt-freeze crusts on the snow surface with melt-water runnels starting to develop on lower-elevation south-facing slopes. East and west-facing slopes below treeline also warmed up quite a bit with wet melt-forms making up the top 10-20cm of the snowpack. Moving onto north-facing slopes the warming has not done anything to change the very concerning snowpack structure. There is a 1.5 to 2.5-foot thick, cohesive slab resting on top of a very weak, faceted snowpack with two persistent weak layers of concern that developed during the December drought and then the January drought. There were no signs of instability such as cracking and collapsing in the snow throughout the day and extended column tests are starting to show mixed results with some not failing after 30 taps. However, extended column tests don't quite show the full picture of the snowpack anymore as the slab gains strength and may lead to false stable results. This setup will continue to be a concern for quite some time, although, in wind-sheltered slopes where the slab is only about 50cm thick, extended column tests consistently show propagating failures around 20-25 taps still. Propagation saw tests show a more accurate picture of potential avalanche danger but if you really want the full picture just go look at the avalanche activity from the last week (Excluding the Valentine's Day natural avalanche cycle).

Weather

Mostly clear with a few clouds observed in the distance. Light westerly breeze with moderate gusts on the Baldy ridgeline. Cool morning quickly warming up by noon.

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